Validating quantitative precipitation forecast for the Flood Meteorological Office, Patna region during 2011–2014

Validating Precipitation Estimates Simulated by the Numerical Weather Forecast Models Eta and Mm5 for Use in Flood Forecasting

Accurate rainfall forecasts using numerical weather prediction (NWP) models can provide significant increases in forecast lead-time and thereby give greater opportunity for flood warning and protection measures. One goal of the FLOODRELIEF project is to quantify the uncertainty of forecast precipitation fields from two different NWP models (Eta and MM5) to investigate the impact of precipitatio...

Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting by the Japan Meteorological Agency

Multimodel SuperEnsemble technique for quantitative precipitation forecasts in Piemonte region

The Multimodel SuperEnsemble technique is a powerful post-processing method for the estimation of weather forecast parameters reducing direct model output errors. It has been applied to real time NWP, TRMM-SSM/I based multi-analysis, Seasonal Climate Forecasts and Hurricane Forecasts. The novelty of this approach lies in the methodology, which differs from ensemble analysis techniques used else...

The application of LEPS technique for Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) in Southern Italy

This paper reports preliminary results of a Limited area model Ensemble Prediction System (LEPS), based on RAMS, for eight case studies of moderate-intense precipitation over Calabria, the southernmost tip of the Italian peninsula. LEPS aims to transfer the benefits of a probabilistic forecast from global to regional scales in countries where local orographic forcing is a key factor to force co...

Impact of surface meteorological observations on RAMS forecast of monsoon weather systems over the Indian region

An attempt has been made to study the impact of surface meteorological observations on the Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (RAMS) simulation of a monsoon depression and two low pressure systems. The surface observations are blended with the GEWEX Asian Monsoon Experiment (GAME) gridded analyses for these cases. In one set of experiments the model is run in 12 hour nudging mode initially a...